Mercer
Southern · 6-1 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#17
A #25-level team matches it 43% of the time
Power
#17
+11.0 pts · likely #9–40
Strength of schedule
24.8
#96 of 128
Strength of victory
25.6
#37
Record SOS
0.430
Opp. 35.2% · Opp. opp. 58.4%
Remaining SOS
45.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | W 62-3 | −8.6 | −2.4 | 0.088 | 4 | +23.3 |
| 1 | vs East Texas A&M | W 23-15 | −4.1 | −2.4 | 0.147 | 3 | +2.4 |
| 2 | vs Furman | L 13-20 | −0.8 | −2.4 | 0.206 | 3 | −7.4 |
| 4 | at Abilene Christian | W 34-17 | +9.9 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs The Citadel · p 0.110
- Wk 10: at Chattanooga · p 0.523
- Wk 11: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.684
- Wk 12: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.488
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Georgia TechFBS · L 11-44