Western Carolina
Southern · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#39
A #25-level team matches it 80% of the time
Power
#20
+10.5 pts · likely #10–43
Strength of schedule
42.8
#23 of 128
Strength of victory
32.3
#17
Record SOS
0.663
Opp. 76.4% · Opp. opp. 46.2%
Remaining SOS
28.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Eastern Kentucky | W 45-21 | +0.4 | −2.4 | 0.228 | 3 | +20.5 |
| 1 | at Campbell | L 19-28 | +6.3 | +2.4 | 0.491 | 2 | −0.0 |
| 3 | vs Presbyterian | W 58-14 | −8.5 | −2.4 | 0.089 | 4 | +23.3 |
| 4 | at East Tennessee State | L 31-58 | +6.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Chattanooga · p 0.396
- Wk 9: at Furman · p 0.390
- Wk 10: vs Wofford · p 0.327
- Wk 11: at Samford · p 0.214
- Wk 12: vs The Citadel · p 0.110
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at CincinnatiFBS · L 10-62