San Diego
Pioneer · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#100
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#115
−10.0 pts · likely #85–118
Strength of schedule
23.1
#103 of 128
Strength of victory
16.8
#55
Record SOS
0.453
Opp. 48.6% · Opp. opp. 38.9%
Remaining SOS
14.7
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs UC Davis | L 17-49 | +3.0 | −2.4 | 0.286 | 2 | −28.9 |
| 2 | at Idaho State | L 17-59 | +4.2 | +2.4 | 0.435 | 2 | −26.3 |
| 3 | at Cal Poly | W 38-35 | +4.5 | +2.4 | 0.442 | 2 | +7.0 |
| 4 | at St. Thomas (MN) | L 17-50 | −6.1 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Dayton · p 0.286
- Wk 9: vs Marist · p 0.150
- Wk 10: at Drake · p 0.146
- Wk 12: vs Stetson · p 0.009