Southern Utah
Big Sky · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#48
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#21
+8.8 pts · likely #12–51
Strength of schedule
37.3
#42 of 128
Strength of victory
29.8
#24
Record SOS
0.507
Opp. 53.3% · Opp. opp. 45.5%
Remaining SOS
31.5
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Utah. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Weber State | W 47-42 | +5.1 | −2.4 | 0.336 | 2 | +8.0 |
| 1 | at Montana | L 21-28 | +17.5 | +2.4 | 0.771 | 1 | +12.0 |
| 3 | at St. Thomas (MN) | L 26-28 | −4.1 | +2.4 | 0.234 | 3 | −1.3 |
| 4 | vs Idaho State | L 24-28 | +5.2 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Idaho · p 0.519
- Wk 9: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.490
- Wk 10: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.259
- Wk 11: at Portland State · p 0.287
- Wk 12: vs Chicago State · p 0.018
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Colorado StateFBS · L 24-58