Montana State
Big Sky · 5-1 vs FCS · 6-1 overall
Strength of record
#13
A #25-level team matches it 34% of the time
Power
#2
+22.5 pts · likely #1–8
Strength of schedule
33.1
#55 of 128
Strength of victory
30.4
#20
Record SOS
0.510
Opp. 49.2% · Opp. opp. 54.6%
Remaining SOS
42.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Utah Tech | W 54-0 | −7.9 | +2.4 | 0.162 | 3 | +28.5 |
| 1 | vs Butler | W 51-24 | −2.3 | −2.4 | 0.176 | 3 | +22.4 |
| 3 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 35-30 | +0.9 | −2.4 | 0.240 | 3 | +7.3 |
| 4 | vs Northern Arizona | W 28-14 | +11.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Weber State · p 0.338
- Wk 9: vs Cal Poly · p 0.254
- Wk 10: at Idaho State · p 0.497
- Wk 11: at Northern Colorado · p 0.372
- Wk 12: vs Montana · p 0.650
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at NevadaFBS · W 20-7