Idaho
Big Sky · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#47
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#26
+7.8 pts · likely #14–53
Strength of schedule
54.3
#2 of 128
Strength of victory
81.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.626
Opp. 70.0% · Opp. opp. 47.9%
Remaining SOS
36.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-4
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Cal Poly | L 34-38 | +0.4 | +2.4 | 0.338 | 2 | −0.0 |
| 2 | vs Lamar | L 17-23 | +11.0 | −2.4 | 0.491 | 2 | +2.9 |
| 3 | vs Abilene Christian | L 39-41 | +7.1 | −2.4 | 0.386 | 2 | +3.5 |
| 5 | vs Montana State | W 35-34 | +24.3 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Southern Utah · p 0.421
- Wk 9: at Portland State · p 0.287
- Wk 10: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.273
- Wk 11: vs UC Davis · p 0.353
- Wk 12: at Idaho State · p 0.497
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UtahFBS · L 14-66