Central Connecticut State
NEC · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#42
A #25-level team matches it 82% of the time
Power
#42
+4.6 pts · likely #18–72
Strength of schedule
48.2
#7 of 128
Strength of victory
13.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.435
Opp. 40.8% · Opp. opp. 48.8%
Remaining SOS
17.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at South Dakota | L 20-59 | +17.2 | +2.4 | 0.763 | 1 | −13.7 |
| 3 | at Montana State | L 30-35 | +24.6 | +2.4 | 0.888 | 1 | +19.8 |
| 5 | vs Wagner | W 45-14 | −12.3 | −2.4 | 0.054 | 4 | +15.1 |
| 7 | at Mercyhurst | W 43-40 | −4.6 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs New Haven · p 0.083
- Wk 9: vs Robert Morris · p 0.125
- Wk 10: at Stonehill · p 0.253
- Wk 11: at Long Island · p 0.231
- Wk 12: vs Duquesne · p 0.202
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at ToledoFBS · L 10-63
- Wk 6: vs American InternationalDII · W 51-14