Wagner
NEC · 0-4 vs FCS · 1-6 overall
Strength of record
#121
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#118
−13.6 pts · likely #99–123
Strength of schedule
27.1
#88 of 128
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.461
Opp. 45.4% · Opp. opp. 47.4%
Remaining SOS
21.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wagner. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Robert Morris | L 7-28 | −8.8 | −2.4 | 0.085 | 4 | −29.8 |
| 5 | at Central Connecticut State | L 14-45 | +2.1 | +2.4 | 0.380 | 2 | −24.1 |
| 6 | vs Princeton | L 13-28 | +10.1 | −2.4 | 0.467 | 2 | −8.7 |
| 7 | vs Long Island | L 9-14 | −3.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Duquesne · p 0.304
- Wk 9: at Merrimack · p 0.194
- Wk 10: at Mercyhurst · p 0.238
- Wk 11: vs New Haven · p 0.083
- Wk 12: at Stonehill · p 0.253
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Southern Connecticut StateDII · W 31-7
- Wk 2: at James MadisonFBS · L 3-87
- Wk 3: at CaliforniaFBS · L 7-49