Long Island
NEC · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#58
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#84
−3.6 pts · likely #55–107
Strength of schedule
32.2
#60 of 128
Strength of victory
19.5
#50
Record SOS
0.441
Opp. 38.9% · Opp. opp. 54.6%
Remaining SOS
20.6
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Long Island. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at North Dakota | L 21-42 | +18.3 | +2.4 | 0.787 | 1 | −1.0 |
| 2 | vs UAlbany | L 13-35 | +2.7 | −2.4 | 0.279 | 2 | −19.3 |
| 3 | vs Villanova | L 16-20 | +2.7 | −2.4 | 0.279 | 2 | −2.6 |
| 5 | vs Mercyhurst | W 27-24 | −3.6 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Stonehill · p 0.162
- Wk 10: at New Haven · p 0.143
- Wk 11: vs Central Connecticut State · p 0.316
- Wk 12: at Robert Morris · p 0.203
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at KansasFBS · L 6-51
- Wk 4: at Florida InternationalFBS · L 3-20