North Dakota
MVFC · 6-1 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#10
A #25-level team matches it 21% of the time
Power
#6
+17.6 pts · likely #3–18
Strength of schedule
33.6
#52 of 128
Strength of victory
29.7
#25
Record SOS
0.563
Opp. 57.1% · Opp. opp. 54.7%
Remaining SOS
69.5
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Long Island | W 42-21 | −4.8 | −2.4 | 0.137 | 3 | +15.1 |
| 1 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | W 62-26 | +0.1 | −2.4 | 0.223 | 3 | +31.1 |
| 2 | at Portland State | W 47-23 | −0.4 | +2.4 | 0.317 | 2 | +24.6 |
| 4 | at Indiana State | W 42-35 | −2.1 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at South Dakota · p 0.811
- Wk 9: at Youngstown State · p 0.878
- Wk 10: vs Illinois State · p 0.676
- Wk 12: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.414
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at NebraskaFBS · L 7-34