Portland State
Big Sky · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#51
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#75
−1.7 pts · likely #43–102
Strength of schedule
44.4
#20 of 128
Strength of victory
30.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.572
Opp. 62.0% · Opp. opp. 47.7%
Remaining SOS
49.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Portland State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs UC Davis | L 24-31 | +5.5 | −2.4 | 0.345 | 2 | −3.9 |
| 2 | vs North Dakota | L 23-47 | +16.9 | −2.4 | 0.646 | 1 | −8.7 |
| 4 | at Weber State | W 44-41 | +6.9 | +2.4 | 0.508 | 1 | +10.6 |
| 6 | vs Utah Tech | W 30-14 | −7.9 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Idaho State · p 0.497
- Wk 9: vs Idaho · p 0.393
- Wk 10: at Montana · p 0.760
- Wk 11: vs Southern Utah · p 0.421
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.388
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San Diego StateFBS · L 20-53
- Wk 3: at OregonFBS · L 0-84