Mercyhurst
NEC · 0-3 vs FCS · 1-6 overall
Strength of record
#118
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#85
−3.6 pts · likely #47–110
Strength of schedule
47.7
#9 of 128
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.499
Opp. 52.2% · Opp. opp. 45.4%
Remaining SOS
17.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercyhurst. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Youngstown State | L 10-43 | +23.3 | +2.4 | 0.872 | 1 | −7.6 |
| 5 | at Long Island | L 24-27 | −4.3 | +2.4 | 0.228 | 3 | −4.3 |
| 7 | vs Central Connecticut State | L 40-43 | +4.9 | −2.4 | 0.331 | 2 | −0.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Robert Morris · p 0.203
- Wk 9: at Stonehill · p 0.253
- Wk 10: vs Wagner · p 0.040
- Wk 11: at Duquesne · p 0.304
- Wk 12: vs New Haven · p 0.083
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at New Mexico StateFBS · L 14-51
- Wk 2: at New MexicoFBS · L 7-70
- Wk 3: vs Glenville StateDII · W 49-20
- Wk 4: at Western KentuckyFBS · L 7-52