Villanova
Patriot · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#85
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#43
+3.7 pts · likely #23–74
Strength of schedule
20.7
#112 of 128
Strength of victory
20.0
#49
Record SOS
0.483
Opp. 49.2% · Opp. opp. 46.5%
Remaining SOS
33.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Bucknell | W 17-16 | −11.4 | +2.4 | 0.110 | 3 | −6.4 |
| 1 | vs William & Mary | L 32-35 | −8.7 | −2.4 | 0.087 | 4 | −11.5 |
| 3 | at Long Island | W 20-16 | −4.3 | +2.4 | 0.230 | 3 | +2.7 |
| 4 | vs Colgate | L 21-28 | +6.8 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Lehigh · p 0.633
- Wk 9: at Lafayette · p 0.306
- Wk 10: vs Richmond · p 0.279
- Wk 11: at Holy Cross · p 0.323
- Wk 12: vs Georgetown · p 0.142
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at LouisvilleFBS · L 13-59