Morgan State
MEAC · 4-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#32
A #25-level team matches it 67% of the time
Power
#71
−1.4 pts · likely #44–100
Strength of schedule
23.3
#102 of 128
Strength of victory
25.9
#36
Record SOS
0.438
Opp. 39.3% · Opp. opp. 52.7%
Remaining SOS
19.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morgan State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at North Carolina A&T | W 17-7 | −6.7 | +2.4 | 0.183 | 3 | +5.0 |
| 3 | at Towson | W 41-26 | −0.4 | +2.4 | 0.316 | 2 | +15.0 |
| 5 | at Villanova | W 38-35 | +4.0 | +2.4 | 0.431 | 2 | +9.0 |
| 6 | vs Robert Morris | W 28-27 | −7.0 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Howard · p 0.178
- Wk 9: vs South Carolina State · p 0.256
- Wk 10: at Delaware State · p 0.241
- Wk 11: vs Norfolk State · p 0.139
- Wk 12: at North Carolina Central · p 0.168
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 7-70
- Wk 2: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 55-0