Robert Morris
NEC · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#91
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#102
−6.5 pts · likely #63–114
Strength of schedule
16.3
#120 of 128
Strength of victory
12.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.442
Opp. 47.9% · Opp. opp. 36.8%
Remaining SOS
24.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Robert Morris. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Wagner | W 28-7 | −11.3 | +2.4 | 0.112 | 3 | +9.7 |
| 5 | vs Norfolk State | W 33-31 | −4.4 | −2.4 | 0.142 | 3 | −5.5 |
| 6 | at Morgan State | L 27-28 | +0.5 | +2.4 | 0.339 | 2 | −0.1 |
| 7 | vs New Haven | L 15-26 | −11.4 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Mercyhurst · p 0.150
- Wk 9: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.438
- Wk 10: at Duquesne · p 0.304
- Wk 11: vs Stonehill · p 0.162
- Wk 12: vs Long Island · p 0.146
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs West Virginia StateDII · W 29-9
- Wk 2: at AkronFBS · L 10-45
- Wk 4: at BuffaloFBS · L 28-31