New Haven
NEC · 2-5 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#98
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#111
−8.8 pts · likely #79–117
Strength of schedule
37.2
#43 of 128
Strength of victory
22.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.508
Opp. 51.4% · Opp. opp. 49.4%
Remaining SOS
22.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against New Haven. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Stonehill | L 3-21 | −5.9 | −2.4 | 0.121 | 3 | −23.5 |
| 1 | vs Marist | W 22-21 | −3.3 | −2.4 | 0.159 | 3 | −5.3 |
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 14-57 | +20.4 | +2.4 | 0.825 | 1 | −12.3 |
| 3 | vs Brown | L 10-17 | +6.2 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.438
- Wk 9: vs Duquesne · p 0.202
- Wk 10: vs Long Island · p 0.146
- Wk 11: at Wagner · p 0.076
- Wk 12: at Mercyhurst · p 0.238