Merrimack
FCS Indep. · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#82
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#96
−5.6 pts · likely #63–111
Strength of schedule
37.3
#41 of 128
Strength of victory
14.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.489
Opp. 48.9% · Opp. opp. 48.9%
Remaining SOS
20.7
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Rhode Island | L 7-34 | +5.5 | −2.4 | 0.346 | 2 | −21.1 |
| 2 | at Maine | W 23-14 | −5.7 | +2.4 | 0.202 | 3 | +4.2 |
| 3 | at Tarleton State | L 20-45 | +14.1 | +2.4 | 0.694 | 1 | −7.7 |
| 4 | vs New Haven | W 17-10 | −8.9 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs New Hampshire · p 0.155
- Wk 9: vs Wagner · p 0.040
- Wk 11: at Monmouth · p 0.486
- Wk 12: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.148
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at DelawareFBS · L 7-42