North Carolina A&T
CAA · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#93
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#105
−7.3 pts · likely #76–115
Strength of schedule
26.9
#89 of 128
Strength of victory
22.1
#46
Record SOS
0.509
Opp. 52.6% · Opp. opp. 47.5%
Remaining SOS
27.0
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina A&T. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Morgan State | L 7-17 | −1.7 | −2.4 | 0.188 | 3 | −13.7 |
| 2 | at North Carolina Central | L 22-30 | −8.6 | +2.4 | 0.151 | 3 | −12.3 |
| 3 | at Campbell | L 14-42 | +6.1 | +2.4 | 0.487 | 2 | −19.0 |
| 4 | vs Rhode Island | W 22-18 | +10.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Elon · p 0.214
- Wk 10: at Monmouth · p 0.486
- Wk 11: at Hampton · p 0.044
- Wk 12: vs UAlbany · p 0.337
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Georgia StateFBS · L 10-59