Chicago State
FCS Indep. · 0-5 vs FCS · 1-6 overall
Strength of record
#121
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#123
−18.5 pts · likely #113–126
Strength of schedule
30.9
#64 of 128
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.503
Opp. 56.7% · Opp. opp. 37.6%
Remaining SOS
44.0
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Chicago State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at UT Martin | L 7-42 | +0.0 | +2.4 | 0.327 | 2 | −29.8 |
| 3 | at Butler | L 20-47 | −3.8 | +2.4 | 0.240 | 3 | −26.9 |
| 4 | vs Norfolk State | L 20-43 | −7.4 | −2.4 | 0.101 | 3 | −30.5 |
| 5 | at Tarleton State | L 21-56 | +14.6 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Lindenwood · p 0.332
- Wk 12: at Southern Utah · p 0.549
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs RooseveltDII · L 28-44
- Wk 2: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 78-7