Tennessee State
OVC · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#99
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#106
−7.5 pts · likely #72–116
Strength of schedule
25.3
#94 of 128
Strength of victory
19.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.519
Opp. 55.8% · Opp. opp. 44.1%
Remaining SOS
25.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-3
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Jackson State | L 24-26 | +1.0 | −2.4 | 0.241 | 3 | −3.7 |
| 2 | at Alabama A&M | L 3-30 | +3.1 | +2.4 | 0.406 | 2 | −19.7 |
| 3 | at Florida A&M | W 29-26 | −9.6 | +2.4 | 0.135 | 3 | −4.3 |
| 5 | at Western Illinois | L 21-28 | −3.9 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.211
- Wk 9: at Lindenwood · p 0.332
- Wk 10: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.287
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.140
- Wk 12: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.311
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at GeorgiaFBS · L 3-63