Western Illinois
OVC · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#89
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#86
−3.7 pts · likely #53–107
Strength of schedule
30.7
#65 of 128
Strength of victory
5.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.440
Opp. 42.0% · Opp. opp. 48.1%
Remaining SOS
26.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Illinois State | L 10-41 | +15.9 | −2.4 | 0.622 | 1 | −15.7 |
| 3 | vs Morehead State | W 59-2 | −25.8 | −2.4 | 0.006 | 4 | +5.8 |
| 4 | at North Alabama | L 20-23 | +3.2 | +2.4 | 0.407 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 5 | vs Tennessee State | W 28-21 | −7.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs UT Martin · p 0.264
- Wk 9: at Charleston Southern · p 0.315
- Wk 10: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.224
- Wk 11: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.208
- Wk 12: at Lindenwood · p 0.332
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Northwestern (IA)Non-NCAA · W 65-14
- Wk 2: at WisconsinFBS · L 9-36