Colgate
Patriot · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#30
A #25-level team matches it 63% of the time
Power
#33
+6.5 pts · likely #17–62
Strength of schedule
36.5
#45 of 128
Strength of victory
33.5
#15
Record SOS
0.583
Opp. 55.8% · Opp. opp. 63.2%
Remaining SOS
31.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Colgate. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Fordham | W 24-14 | −5.3 | +2.4 | 0.209 | 3 | +6.4 |
| 1 | vs Holy Cross | W 35-10 | +2.1 | −2.4 | 0.266 | 2 | +23.1 |
| 3 | vs Cornell | W 20-7 | +9.6 | −2.4 | 0.453 | 2 | +18.2 |
| 4 | at Villanova | W 28-21 | +3.3 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Richmond · p 0.395
- Wk 9: vs William & Mary · p 0.114
- Wk 10: at Lehigh · p 0.746
- Wk 11: vs Lafayette · p 0.204
- Wk 12: at Bucknell · p 0.130
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Central MichiganFBS · L 10-13