Incarnate Word
Southland · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#38
A #25-level team matches it 79% of the time
Power
#18
+10.9 pts · likely #8–42
Strength of schedule
53.9
#3 of 128
Strength of victory
31.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.705
Opp. 82.7% · Opp. opp. 46.3%
Remaining SOS
22.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Northern Arizona | L 28-38 | +9.9 | +2.4 | 0.588 | 1 | +3.1 |
| 3 | vs Houston Christian | W 30-23 OT | +2.9 | −2.4 | 0.283 | 2 | +3.8 |
| 5 | at Stephen F. Austin | L 26-28 | +21.8 | +2.4 | 0.848 | 1 | +20.1 |
| 6 | at Lamar | L 35-38 | +11.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs McNeese · p 0.191
- Wk 9: vs Northwestern State · p 0.024
- Wk 10: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.503
- Wk 11: vs Nicholls State · p 0.142
- Wk 12: at East Texas A&M · p 0.262
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Oklahoma PanhandleNon-NCAA · W 76-14
- Wk 4: at Texas StateFBS · L 10-63