UTRGV
Southland · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#70
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#47
+2.5 pts · likely #27–84
Strength of schedule
33.0
#56 of 128
Strength of victory
33.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.469
Opp. 39.0% · Opp. opp. 62.7%
Remaining SOS
39.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UTRGV. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Nicholls State | L 28-31 | −5.8 | +2.4 | 0.199 | 3 | −5.9 |
| 3 | vs McNeese | W 27-10 | +0.3 | −2.4 | 0.227 | 3 | +12.6 |
| 5 | at East Texas A&M | L 17-20 | −3.7 | +2.4 | 0.241 | 3 | −4.0 |
| 6 | vs Southeastern Louisiana | W 13-3 | +8.9 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Central Arkansas · p 0.268
- Wk 9: vs Lamar · p 0.508
- Wk 10: at Northwestern State · p 0.049
- Wk 11: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.727
- Wk 12: at Houston Christian · p 0.435
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs UT Permian BasinDII · W 44-0
- Wk 1: at UTSAFBS · L 16-45