Indiana State
MVFC · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#71
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#67
−0.2 pts · likely #36–96
Strength of schedule
37.9
#40 of 128
Strength of victory
11.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.507
Opp. 55.0% · Opp. opp. 42.0%
Remaining SOS
57.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Indiana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 21-23 | +0.2 | −2.8 | 0.216 | 3 | −4.0 |
| 2 | at Eastern Illinois | W 42-35 | −6.9 | +2.8 | 0.186 | 3 | +2.1 |
| 3 | vs Valparaiso | W 39-16 | −12.3 | −2.8 | 0.051 | 4 | +6.8 |
| 4 | vs North Dakota | L 35-42 | +18.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Youngstown State · p 0.766
- Wk 8: at Illinois State · p 0.721
- Wk 9: at Northern Iowa · p 0.574
- Wk 10: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.468
- Wk 11: vs Murray State · p 0.047
- Wk 12: at South Dakota State · p 0.846
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at PurdueFBS · L 19-44