South Dakota
MVFC · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#10
A #25-level team matches it 26% of the time
Power
#7
+18.2 pts · likely #2–19
Strength of schedule
43.2
#21 of 128
Strength of victory
33.4
#12
Record SOS
0.512
Opp. 46.7% · Opp. opp. 60.3%
Remaining SOS
53.2
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 59-20 | +8.5 | −2.8 | 0.413 | 2 | +36.5 |
| 1 | at Northern Colorado | W 38-23 | +1.7 | +2.8 | 0.379 | 2 | +19.3 |
| 2 | vs Eastern Washington | W 41-23 | +3.9 | −2.8 | 0.296 | 2 | +18.6 |
| 4 | at Youngstown State | L 28-47 | +20.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.468
- Wk 7: at Murray State · p 0.098
- Wk 8: vs North Dakota · p 0.635
- Wk 9: at South Dakota State · p 0.846
- Wk 11: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.423
- Wk 12: at Illinois State · p 0.721
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Boise StateFBS · L 24-38