Central Connecticut State
NEC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#72
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#40
+4.2 pts · likely #19–77
Strength of schedule
54.2
#2 of 128
Strength of victory
4.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.496
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 48.9%
Remaining SOS
17.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at South Dakota | L 20-59 | +15.5 | +2.8 | 0.738 | 1 | −14.0 |
| 3 | at Montana State | L 30-35 | +21.2 | +2.8 | 0.845 | 1 | +16.5 |
| 5 | vs Wagner | W 45-14 | −13.4 | −2.8 | 0.044 | 4 | +12.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Mercyhurst · p 0.219
- Wk 8: vs New Haven · p 0.056
- Wk 9: vs Robert Morris · p 0.152
- Wk 10: at Stonehill · p 0.207
- Wk 11: at Long Island · p 0.196
- Wk 12: vs Duquesne · p 0.199
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at ToledoFBS · L 10-63