Wagner
NEC · 0-2 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#119
−15.7 pts · likely #99–125
Strength of schedule
23.7
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.500
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
21.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wagner. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Robert Morris | L 7-28 | −7.2 | −2.8 | 0.098 | 4 | −27.6 |
| 5 | at Central Connecticut State | L 14-45 | +1.5 | +2.8 | 0.375 | 2 | −24.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Princeton · p 0.426
- Wk 7: vs Long Island · p 0.109
- Wk 8: at Duquesne · p 0.320
- Wk 9: at Merrimack · p 0.183
- Wk 10: at Mercyhurst · p 0.219
- Wk 11: vs New Haven · p 0.056
- Wk 12: at Stonehill · p 0.207
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Southern Connecticut StateDII · W 31-7
- Wk 2: at James MadisonFBS · L 3-87
- Wk 3: at CaliforniaFBS · L 7-49