Montana State
Big Sky · 4-1 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#22
A #25-level team matches it 56% of the time
Power
#5
+18.7 pts · likely #2–17
Strength of schedule
28.2
#77 of 128
Strength of victory
25.0
#24
Record SOS
0.504
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 51.1%
Remaining SOS
43.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Utah Tech | W 54-0 | −6.5 | +2.8 | 0.195 | 3 | +29.5 |
| 1 | vs Butler | W 51-24 | −4.2 | −2.8 | 0.139 | 3 | +19.8 |
| 3 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 35-30 | +0.2 | −2.8 | 0.215 | 3 | +6.5 |
| 4 | vs Northern Arizona | W 28-14 | +10.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Eastern Washington · p 0.436
- Wk 8: vs Weber State · p 0.251
- Wk 9: vs Cal Poly · p 0.227
- Wk 10: at Idaho State · p 0.556
- Wk 11: at Northern Colorado · p 0.376
- Wk 12: vs Montana · p 0.742
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at NevadaFBS · W 20-7