Youngstown State
MVFC · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 11% of the time
Power
#1
+22.2 pts · likely #1–10
Strength of schedule
52.6
#5 of 128
Strength of victory
45.0
#1
Record SOS
0.628
Opp. 68.8% · Opp. opp. 51.0%
Remaining SOS
41.5
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Youngstown State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mercyhurst | W 43-10 | −4.4 | −2.8 | 0.136 | 3 | +25.1 |
| 2 | vs Duquesne | W 70-13 | +3.8 | −2.8 | 0.295 | 2 | +32.0 |
| 3 | at South Dakota State | L 20-27 | +20.1 | +2.8 | 0.829 | 1 | +17.0 |
| 4 | vs South Dakota | W 47-28 | +21.2 | −2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Indiana State · p 0.338
- Wk 7: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.423
- Wk 9: vs North Dakota · p 0.635
- Wk 10: at Murray State · p 0.098
- Wk 11: vs Illinois State · p 0.581
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at KentuckyFBS · L 13-45