North Dakota
MVFC · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#18
A #25-level team matches it 35% of the time
Power
#8
+16.7 pts · likely #3–24
Strength of schedule
18.2
#109 of 128
Strength of victory
18.2
#33
Record SOS
0.496
Opp. 46.7% · Opp. opp. 55.6%
Remaining SOS
67.2
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Long Island | W 42-21 | −7.6 | −2.8 | 0.095 | 4 | +12.1 |
| 1 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | W 62-26 | −1.7 | −2.8 | 0.181 | 3 | +28.3 |
| 2 | at Portland State | W 47-23 | −1.9 | +2.8 | 0.290 | 2 | +23.0 |
| 4 | at Indiana State | W 42-35 | −1.3 | +2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Northern Iowa · p 0.574
- Wk 7: vs South Dakota State · p 0.739
- Wk 8: at South Dakota · p 0.803
- Wk 9: at Youngstown State · p 0.866
- Wk 10: vs Illinois State · p 0.581
- Wk 12: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.468
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at NebraskaFBS · L 7-34