Portland State
Big Sky · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#46
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#83
−3.8 pts · likely #48–109
Strength of schedule
49.5
#7 of 128
Strength of victory
44.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.685
Opp. 83.3% · Opp. opp. 38.9%
Remaining SOS
45.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Portland State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs UC Davis | L 24-31 | +9.5 | −2.8 | 0.438 | 2 | −1.0 |
| 2 | vs North Dakota | L 23-47 | +15.6 | −2.8 | 0.604 | 1 | −10.1 |
| 4 | at Weber State | W 44-41 | +4.0 | +2.8 | 0.442 | 2 | +7.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Utah Tech · p 0.085
- Wk 7: at Northern Arizona · p 0.591
- Wk 8: at Idaho State · p 0.556
- Wk 9: vs Idaho · p 0.331
- Wk 10: at Montana · p 0.848
- Wk 11: vs Southern Utah · p 0.357
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.436
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San Diego StateFBS · L 20-53
- Wk 3: at OregonFBS · L 0-84