UC Davis
Big Sky · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#23
A #25-level team matches it 59% of the time
Power
#24
+8.8 pts · likely #13–53
Strength of schedule
27.0
#82 of 128
Strength of victory
18.2
#34
Record SOS
0.516
Opp. 45.0% · Opp. opp. 64.9%
Remaining SOS
32.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Portland State | W 31-24 | −4.4 | +2.8 | 0.236 | 3 | +6.0 |
| 1 | at San Diego | W 49-17 | −7.8 | +2.8 | 0.170 | 3 | +24.9 |
| 3 | vs Stetson | W 45-7 | −20.6 | −2.8 | 0.014 | 4 | +10.9 |
| 4 | vs Montana | L 22-62 | +16.3 | −2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Southern Utah · p 0.505
- Wk 8: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.243
- Wk 9: at Weber State · p 0.385
- Wk 10: vs Utah Tech · p 0.085
- Wk 11: at Idaho · p 0.477
- Wk 12: vs Cal Poly · p 0.227
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at SMUFBS · L 10-56