San Diego
Pioneer · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#88
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#113
−9.9 pts · likely #80–117
Strength of schedule
28.7
#73 of 128
Strength of victory
23.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.499
Opp. 55.0% · Opp. opp. 39.8%
Remaining SOS
15.2
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs UC Davis | L 17-49 | +6.0 | −2.8 | 0.349 | 2 | −26.0 |
| 2 | at Idaho State | L 17-59 | +5.4 | +2.8 | 0.478 | 2 | −24.0 |
| 3 | at Cal Poly | W 38-35 | +4.5 | +2.8 | 0.455 | 2 | +6.6 |
| 4 | at St. Thomas (MN) | L 17-50 | −9.4 | +2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Butler · p 0.234
- Wk 7: vs Valparaiso · p 0.042
- Wk 8: at Dayton · p 0.250
- Wk 9: vs Marist · p 0.176
- Wk 10: at Drake · p 0.195
- Wk 12: vs Stetson · p 0.013