Montana
Big Sky · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#5
A #25-level team matches it 13% of the time
Power
#2
+21.7 pts · likely #1–12
Strength of schedule
28.6
#74 of 128
Strength of victory
28.6
#19
Record SOS
0.521
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 56.4%
Remaining SOS
45.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern Utah | W 28-21 | +4.4 | −2.8 | 0.309 | 2 | +10.6 |
| 1 | vs Drake | W 45-10 | −5.5 | −2.8 | 0.121 | 3 | +26.5 |
| 2 | vs Utah Tech | W 35-14 | −10.5 | −2.8 | 0.065 | 4 | +9.9 |
| 4 | at UC Davis | W 62-22 | +13.7 | +2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Northern Arizona · p 0.591
- Wk 7: vs Idaho · p 0.331
- Wk 9: at Eastern Washington · p 0.436
- Wk 10: vs Portland State · p 0.148
- Wk 11: vs Idaho State · p 0.406
- Wk 12: at Montana State · p 0.803
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Oregon StateFBS · L 17-52