Drake
Pioneer · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#54
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#96
−5.8 pts · likely #62–112
Strength of schedule
37.2
#42 of 128
Strength of victory
10.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.601
Opp. 70.8% · Opp. opp. 38.7%
Remaining SOS
11.9
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Drake. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana | L 10-45 | +20.5 | +2.8 | 0.834 | 1 | −10.5 |
| 2 | at Northern Iowa | L 14-56 | +4.3 | +2.8 | 0.450 | 2 | −23.5 |
| 4 | at Davidson | W 51-32 | −28.5 | +2.8 | 0.009 | 4 | −6.2 |
| 5 | vs Dayton | W 30-22 | −0.9 | −2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Valparaiso · p 0.088
- Wk 7: vs Marist · p 0.176
- Wk 8: vs Butler · p 0.135
- Wk 9: at Morehead State · p 0.012
- Wk 10: vs San Diego · p 0.063
- Wk 11: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.241
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs South Dakota MinesDII · L 35-38