Northern Iowa
MVFC · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#27
A #25-level team matches it 67% of the time
Power
#25
+8.7 pts · likely #10–61
Strength of schedule
39.3
#36 of 128
Strength of victory
40.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.524
Opp. 44.4% · Opp. opp. 68.3%
Remaining SOS
56.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Iowa. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Eastern Washington | L 24-34 | +1.5 | +2.8 | 0.375 | 2 | −3.9 |
| 2 | vs Drake | W 56-14 | −2.7 | −2.8 | 0.163 | 3 | +26.5 |
| 4 | vs Illinois State | W 28-21 | +17.1 | −2.8 | 0.641 | 1 | +18.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs North Dakota · p 0.635
- Wk 7: at Youngstown State · p 0.866
- Wk 8: at Southern Illinois · p 0.617
- Wk 9: vs Indiana State · p 0.213
- Wk 10: vs South Dakota State · p 0.739
- Wk 11: at South Dakota · p 0.803
- Wk 12: at Murray State · p 0.098
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at IowaFBS · L 0-55