Dayton
Pioneer · 1-1 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#82
−3.8 pts · likely #46–110
Strength of schedule
26.2
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
36.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.417
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 58.5%
Remaining SOS
7.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Eastern Kentucky | W 17-14 | +1.0 | +2.8 | 0.362 | 2 | +5.0 |
| 5 | at Drake | L 22-30 | −8.3 | +2.8 | 0.162 | 3 | −11.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Morehead State · p 0.004
- Wk 7: at Butler · p 0.234
- Wk 8: vs San Diego · p 0.063
- Wk 9: at Stetson · p 0.032
- Wk 10: vs Valparaiso · p 0.042
- Wk 11: vs Davidson · p 0.003
- Wk 12: at Presbyterian · p 0.163
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Fairmont StateDII · W 43-20
- Wk 2: vs Thomas More CollegeDII · W 30-7