Murray State
MVFC · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#102
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#116
−12.4 pts · likely #91–122
Strength of schedule
32.5
#55 of 128
Strength of victory
5.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.443
Opp. 45.8% · Opp. opp. 41.3%
Remaining SOS
63.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Eastern Illinois | L 14-28 | −10.0 | −2.8 | 0.070 | 4 | −24.4 |
| 2 | vs Valparaiso | W 27-18 | −12.5 | −2.8 | 0.050 | 4 | −7.2 |
| 4 | vs Southern Illinois | L 6-46 | +7.9 | −2.8 | 0.395 | 2 | −26.9 |
| 5 | at North Dakota | L 28-55 | +17.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs South Dakota · p 0.683
- Wk 8: at South Dakota State · p 0.846
- Wk 9: at Illinois State · p 0.721
- Wk 10: vs Youngstown State · p 0.766
- Wk 11: at Indiana State · p 0.338
- Wk 12: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.423
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Middle TennesseeFBS · L 14-38
- Wk 3: at Oklahoma StateFBS · L 0-59