Southeast Missouri State
OVC · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#50
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#63
+0.8 pts · likely #32–92
Strength of schedule
32.8
#53 of 128
Strength of victory
25.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.512
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 53.6%
Remaining SOS
23.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southeast Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Indiana State | W 23-21 | +0.8 | +2.8 | 0.356 | 2 | +4.6 |
| 2 | at Southern Illinois | L 20-34 | +10.3 | +2.8 | 0.609 | 1 | −0.4 |
| 3 | vs Central Arkansas | W 27-9 | −3.7 | −2.8 | 0.147 | 3 | +9.7 |
| 4 | vs West Florida | L 17-20 | −0.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Lindenwood · p 0.401
- Wk 7: vs Western Illinois · p 0.130
- Wk 8: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.177
- Wk 9: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.304
- Wk 10: at Tennessee State · p 0.118
- Wk 11: at Charleston Southern · p 0.317
- Wk 12: vs UT Martin · p 0.189
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 10-38