Illinois State
MVFC · 12-4 vs FCS · 12-5 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 0.5% of the time
Power
#6
+18.0 pts · likely #4–13
Strength of schedule
53.5
#4 of 129
Strength of victory
46.6
#3
Record SOS
0.589
Opp. 60.7% · Opp. opp. 55.3%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
6-4
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (16)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Illinois State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 41-13 | −17.8 | −1.6 | 0.027 | 4 | +10.9 |
| 3 | at Eastern Illinois | W 42-30 | −7.4 | +1.6 | 0.157 | 3 | +6.7 |
| 4 | vs North Alabama | W 38-36 OT | −5.0 | −1.6 | 0.146 | 3 | −2.3 |
| 6 | vs North Dakota State | L 16-33 | +32.2 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at OklahomaFBS · L 3-35