Villanova
CAA · 12-2 vs FCS · 12-3 overall
Strength of record
#5
A #25-level team matches it 1.3% of the time
Power
#9
+16.1 pts · likely #5–19
Strength of schedule
42.9
#24 of 129
Strength of victory
40.4
#10
Record SOS
0.602
Opp. 64.8% · Opp. opp. 50.8%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
4-2
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (14)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Colgate | W 24-17 | +0.1 | −1.6 | 0.238 | 3 | +5.0 |
| 4 | at Monmouth | L 33-51 | +8.1 | +1.6 | 0.519 | 1 | −7.6 |
| 5 | vs William & Mary | W 31-24 | +4.6 | −1.6 | 0.343 | 2 | +11.1 |
| 6 | at New Hampshire | W 37-7 | +9.3 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Penn StateFBS · L 6-52