Tarleton State
UAC · 11-2 vs FCS · 12-2 overall
Strength of record
#8
A #25-level team matches it 5.8% of the time
Power
#4
+20.0 pts · likely #3–10
Strength of schedule
37.7
#40 of 129
Strength of victory
33.0
#18
Record SOS
0.493
Opp. 47.7% · Opp. opp. 52.4%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
5-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (13)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Portland State | W 42-0 | −8.6 | +1.6 | 0.138 | 3 | +27.9 |
| 2 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 59-3 | −22.1 | −1.6 | 0.013 | 4 | +12.9 |
| 3 | at Central Arkansas | W 56-10 | +2.0 | +1.6 | 0.356 | 2 | +37.1 |
| 4 | vs Chattanooga | W 52-24 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArmyFBS · W 30-27