Towson
CAA · 6-5 vs FCS · 6-6 overall
Strength of record
#64
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#52
+2.8 pts · likely #34–73
Strength of schedule
28.8
#74 of 129
Strength of victory
11.9
#88
Record SOS
0.421
Opp. 38.1% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Norfolk State | W 27-7 | −13.8 | +1.6 | 0.075 | 4 | +7.7 |
| 2 | at Morgan State | W 27-22 | −6.9 | +1.6 | 0.166 | 3 | −0.2 |
| 4 | vs Youngstown State | L 28-31 | +14.1 | −1.6 | 0.596 | 1 | +8.5 |
| 5 | at Bryant | W 26-24 | −10.2 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at MarylandFBS · L 17-44