Montana State
Big Sky · 14-1 vs FCS · 14-2 overall
Strength of record
#1
A #25-level team matches it <0.1% of the time
Power
#2
+28.0 pts · likely #1–2
Strength of schedule
49.1
#12 of 129
Strength of victory
47.9
#1
Record SOS
0.630
Opp. 67.2% · Opp. opp. 54.8%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
7-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (15)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs South Dakota State | L 24-30 OT | +16.7 | −1.6 | 0.661 | 1 | +13.1 |
| 3 | vs San Diego | W 41-7 | −0.6 | −1.6 | 0.224 | 3 | +32.0 |
| 4 | vs Mercyhurst | W 17-0 | −5.7 | −1.6 | 0.135 | 3 | +10.5 |
| 5 | vs Eastern Washington | W 57-3 | +4.6 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at OregonFBS · L 13-59