Murray State
MVFC · 1-9 vs FCS · 1-11 overall
Strength of record
#88
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#91
−6.2 pts · likely #72–108
Strength of schedule
57.0
#2 of 129
Strength of victory
29.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.556
Opp. 56.4% · Opp. opp. 54.2%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-7
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at East Tennessee State | L 17-45 | +5.9 | +1.6 | 0.460 | 2 | −19.3 |
| 2 | vs Southeastern Louisiana | L 24-45 | +13.2 | −1.6 | 0.573 | 1 | −10.8 |
| 6 | at South Dakota | L 24-49 | +13.3 | +1.6 | 0.655 | 1 | −9.0 |
| 7 | vs Illinois State | L 32-46 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Georgia StateFBS · L 21-37
- Wk 4: at Jacksonville StateFBS · L 10-45