East Tennessee State
Southern · 7-4 vs FCS · 7-5 overall
Strength of record
#43
A #25-level team matches it 86% of the time
Power
#30
+7.3 pts · likely #20–52
Strength of schedule
27.5
#84 of 129
Strength of victory
22.8
#41
Record SOS
0.456
Opp. 44.1% · Opp. opp. 48.6%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Murray State | W 45-17 | −5.5 | −1.6 | 0.138 | 3 | +20.3 |
| 3 | at West Georgia | L 31-35 | +6.6 | +1.6 | 0.478 | 2 | +2.3 |
| 4 | vs Elon | W 26-16 | +5.2 | −1.6 | 0.357 | 2 | +13.3 |
| 5 | vs Mercer | L 34-38 | +11.7 | −1.6 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TennesseeFBS · L 17-72