Mercer
Southern · 9-2 vs FCS · 9-3 overall
Strength of record
#21
A #25-level team matches it 34% of the time
Power
#20
+11.5 pts · likely #10–34
Strength of schedule
28.4
#76 of 129
Strength of victory
27.1
#29
Record SOS
0.489
Opp. 48.6% · Opp. opp. 49.5%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
5-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | L 10-15 | −2.9 | −1.6 | 0.180 | 3 | −9.0 |
| 3 | vs Wofford | W 22-21 | +4.0 | −1.6 | 0.328 | 2 | +4.4 |
| 4 | at The Citadel | W 38-0 | −0.4 | +1.6 | 0.297 | 2 | +34.1 |
| 5 | at East Tennessee State | W 38-34 | +7.2 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 13: at AuburnFBS · L 17-62