Morehead State
Pioneer · 4-6 vs FCS · 6-6 overall
Strength of record
#104
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#121
−15.7 pts · likely #110–125
Strength of schedule
21.9
#105 of 129
Strength of victory
5.0
#100
Record SOS
0.455
Opp. 44.4% · Opp. opp. 47.6%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
4-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Illinois State | L 13-41 | +17.2 | +1.6 | 0.747 | 1 | −8.6 |
| 3 | at Austin Peay | L 7-56 | +7.7 | +1.6 | 0.508 | 1 | −25.9 |
| 5 | at Presbyterian | L 0-41 | −2.6 | +1.6 | 0.248 | 3 | −36.1 |
| 6 | vs Dayton | L 28-35 | −4.7 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs AllenDII · W 38-31
- Wk 4: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 45-28