Valparaiso
Pioneer · 1-9 vs FCS · 2-10 overall
Strength of record
#125
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#128
−23.5 pts · likely #124–128
Strength of schedule
24.3
#96 of 129
Strength of victory
0.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.478
Opp. 48.8% · Opp. opp. 46.0%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-4
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Western Illinois | L 30-51 | −6.5 | +1.6 | 0.173 | 3 | −24.8 |
| 4 | at North Dakota | L 7-58 | +20.4 | +1.6 | 0.812 | 1 | −15.4 |
| 6 | at Drake | L 0-41 | −0.9 | +1.6 | 0.287 | 2 | −34.0 |
| 7 | vs Dayton | L 10-41 | −6.3 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 67-10
- Wk 2: vs AdrianDIII · L 7-10